Louis Smolka vs. Casey Kenney - 5/30/20 UFC Fight Night 176 Pick and Prediction

Louis Smolka vs. Casey Kenney  - 5/30/20 UFC Fight Night 176 Pick and Prediction Photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Casey Kenney vs. Louis Smolka

Saturday, May 30, 2020 at 9:30PM (UFC APEX)

The Line: Louis Smolka +220 / Casey Kenney -280 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Louis Smolka vs. Casey Kenney face off in a bantamweight showdown at UFC Fight Night 176. The fight will take place at the UFC Apex with no fans in attendance. Both of these fighters are currently unranked, but they hope to open up some eyes with a victory in this fight. 

Louis “Da Last Samurai” Smolka comes into this off a win in his last fight and overall he has a 16-6 record during his career. Smolka’s last fight came on September 14th, 2019 at UFC Fight Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje. Smolka faced off with Ryan MacDonald and it didn’t take a whole lot of time to get the job done. Smolka landed 59 strikes before he finally finished the fight late in the first round with one of those punches. 

Smolka is averaging 4.22 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.47 significant strikes per minute. He is also averaging 1.65 successful takedowns per 15 minutes. Smolka also attempts 2.1 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Smolka really is an all-around fighter that can finish a fight a few different ways. 

Get Our Experts BEST BETS For All Of The Games CLICK HERE

Casey Kenney fights out of the southpaw stance and comes into this fight with a 13-2-1 overall record as a professional. Kenney had won two fights in a row to start his UFC career, but in his last fight it was a loss. 

In Kenney’s last fight against Merab Dvalishvili, he was taken down 12 times, and that led to him losing by a unanimous decision. All three of Kenney’s fights in the UFC have gone to the judges’ scorecards. Kenney is averaging 3.39 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.2 significant strikes per minute. Kenney is also averaging 1.4 successful takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown defense needs to improve off his last fight though. 

Kenney really struggled in his last fight and Smolka is going to take advantage of that in this fight. Look for Smolka to control the fight by getting it to the ground. This one is going to go the full 15 minutes, with Smolka cashing at plus money. 

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Shane’s Pick Louis Smolka +220

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams 11/23/20 NFL Pick and Prediction Monday Week 11 NFL

Guaranteed Picks

Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not win or profit. A credit for the full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t win, you’ll get a $39.95 credit that’s good for any future purchases on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, but please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits applying towards future purchases.