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St. Louis CITY SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction 7/16/2026 Picks

May 23, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Austin FC midfielder Nicolas Dubersarsky (20) pressures St. Louis CITY SC forward Cedric Teuchert (36) in the second half at Energizer Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

May 23, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Austin FC midfielder Nicolas Dubersarsky (20) pressures St. Louis CITY SC forward Cedric Teuchert (36) in the second half at Energizer Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Sporting Kansas City St. Louis CITY SC St. Louis CITY SC
Team Records 3-2-9 4-4-6
Where Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri
When Thursday, July 16, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EDT
TV Apple TV

In this article, we will formulate a Sporting KC vs St. Louis City FC Prediction for this MLS game on Thursday, July 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLS matchup.

St. Louis City FC Preview

St. Louis City has 16 points this season, with a 4-6-4 record, and sits in 22nd place in the MLS standings. They have a 4-2-1 home record and a 0-4-3 away record. St. Louis City is coming off a 3-0 win against Austin at home, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.04 compared to Austin’s 0.34.

St. Louis City is scoring 1.14 goals per game, which ranks 28th in MLS, while allowing 1.43 goals per game, which ranks 10th in MLS. Marcel Hartel is St. Louis City’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Chris Durkin with 2 goals and Simon Becher with 1 goal. Simon Becher is St. Louis City’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Sporting KC Preview

Sporting KC has 11 points this season, with a 3-9-2 record, and sits in 29th place in the MLS standings. They have a 3-5-2 home record and a 0-4-0 away record. Sporting KC is coming off a 1-2 loss against New York Red Bulls at home, where they had 61% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.69 compared to New York Red Bulls’ 0.88.

Sporting KC is scoring one goal per game, which ranks 29th in MLS, while allowing 2.57 goals per game, which ranks 29th in MLS. Dejan Joveljić is Sporting KC’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Calvin Harris with 2 goals and Manuel García Alonso with 1 goal. Calvin Harris and Manuel García Alonso are Sporting KC’s top passers, with 3 assists each.

Sporting KC vs St. Louis City FC Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 1-1-3 in their last 5 meetings and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings. St. Louis City FC is 3-1-1 in its last 5 home meetings against Sporting KC and all of those five games have gone over the total.  

In this Sporting KC vs St. Louis City FC Prediction, St. Louis City FC is coming as -270 home favorites. St. Louis City is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season and are playing a Sporting KC team that has lost all of its four road games so far and are second to last in the whole MLS both offensively and defensively. St. Louis City has won five of its last six home games, three of them by more than one goal, so I expect them to win this one comfortably as well. Take St. Louis City by -1.5 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: St. Louis City FC -1.5

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