New York City (10-4-8) vs Sporting (6-5-11)
July 19, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Sporting Kansas City +165 / New York City FC +145 — Over/Under: 3
In this article, we will formulate a New York City FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction for this MLS game on Saturday, July 19th, at Children’s Mercy Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLS matchup.
Sporting Kansas City Preview
Kansas City has 23 points this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the Western Conference. Kansas City has a 6-11-5 record this season, and have a 3-5-3 home record. Kansas City is coming off a 2-3 home defeat by Seattle, and have been undefeated in 3 of in their last 4 games. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Kansas City is averaging 1.59 goals per game, while allowing 1.86 goals per game. Dejan Joveljić is the top scorer for Kansas City this season with 13 total goals.
New York City FC Preview
New York City FC has 34 points this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Eastern Conference. New York City has a 10-8-4 record this season and have a 2-5-4 road record. New York City is coming off a 2-1 road victory over Orlando, and have only 3 losses in their last 10 games. Over is 6-2 in their 8 games.
New York City is averaging 1.32 goals per game, while allowing 1.09 goals per game. Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista is the top scorer for New York City this season with 9 total goals.
Why Sporting Kansas City will win
Sporting Kansas City has won three of its last four MLS home games following a loss.
Sporting Kansas City has won three of its last four MLS games at Children’s Mercy Park following a loss.
Sporting Kansas City has won four of its last six MLS games following a loss.
New York City FC has lost each of its last six MLS night games as an away favorite.
New York City FC has lost each of its last four MLS games as an away favorite following a win.
New York City FC has lost six of its last seven MLS games as an away favorite.
The home team has won four of New York City FC’s last five MLS games.
Why New York City FC will win
New York City FC has won three of its last four MLS games against Sporting Kansas City.
New York City FC has won three of its last four MLS night games against Sporting Kansas City.
New York City FC has won seven of its last 10 MLS games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Sporting Kansas City’s last eight MLS games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of Sporting Kansas City’s last seven MLS home games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in three of the last four MLS games between Sporting Kansas City and New York City FC.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Sporting Kansas City’s last eight MLS games.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of New York City FC’s last six MLS games as an away favorite.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of the last four MLS games between Sporting Kansas City and New York City FC.
New York City FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
New York City FC is 4-0-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against Kansas City, and both teams are tied 1-1 wins in their two meetings in Kansas City. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this New York City FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. New York City FC has 11 points more than Kansas City, but both teams have similar home/away splits, and have been in good form lately, with just 4 defeats in their last 13 games combined. This matchup is as balanced as it gets, so I see no value on either side. From a total perspective, both teams are a strong 14-4 to the over in their last 18 games combined, and with both teams having scored two goals in their previous matches, I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 3 goals.