Philadelphia (14-4-5) vs Houston (7-5-11)
July 19, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Dynamo +130 / Philadelphia Union +185 — Over/Under: 2.75
In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Union vs Houston Dynamo Prediction for this MLS game on Saturday, July 19th, at the Shell Energy Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLS matchup.
Houston Dynamo Preview
Houston has 26 points this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Western Conference. Houston has a 7-11-5 record this season and are 4-7-1 at home. Houston is coming off a 0-3 home defeat by Vancouver, and are 2-5 in their last 7 games. Over is 8-2 in their 10 games.
Houston is averaging 1.22 goals per game, while allowing 1.65 goals per game. Ezequiel Ponce leads Houston’s offense this season with 7 total goals.
Philadelphia Union Preview
Philadelphia has 46 points this season and are sitting on the first place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 14-5-4 record this season, and are 6-4-1 on the road. Philadelphia is coming off a 2-1 home victory over Montreal, and are 4-2 in their last 6 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
Philadelphia is averaging 1.70 goals per game, while allowing 0.96 goals per game. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 14 total goals.
Why Houston Dynamo will win
The home team has won each of Philadelphia Union’s last four MLS games.
Houston has won six of its last seven MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.
Houston has won five of its last six MLS games against Philadelphia Union at Shell Energy Stadium.
Philadelphia Union has lost each of its last three MLS games at Shell Energy Stadium following a win.
Why Philadelphia Union will win
Philadelphia Union has won each of its last four MLS games against Houston.
Philadelphia Union has won each of its last four MLS night games against Houston.
Houston has lost three of its last four MLS games as a favorite.
Houston has lost three of its last four MLS games as a home favorite.
The underdog has won three of Houston’s last four MLS games at Shell Energy Stadium.
Total Points Facts
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in three of the last four MLS games between Houston and Philadelphia Union at Shell Energy Stadium.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in nine of the last 11 MLS games between Houston and Philadelphia Union.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in seven of Philadelphia Union’s last eight MLS games as an away underdog.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in three of Houston’s last four MLS games.
The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Philadelphia Union’s last six MLS games as an away underdog.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Houston’s last nine MLS games.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Houston’s last four MLS home games.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Houston’s last four MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
Philadelphia is 3-1 in their last 4 overall meetings against Houston, while Houston is 7-1 in their last 8 home meetings against Philadelphia. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Philadelphia Union vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, Houston is coming as +130 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as Philadelphia has a grand total of 20 more points than Houston, and are the best team in the East. Houston has also struggled lately with just two wins in their last seven games, and are weaker both offensively and defensively, so there is huge value with the road dog in this matchup. I expect the guests to keep this one close, if not win outright, but my free pick is the Philadelphia Union by +0.25 goals.