Apr 19, 2025; Saint Paul, Minnesota, USA; FC Dallas defender Shaq Moore (18) and Minnesota United forward Kelvin Yeboah (9) compete for the ball during the second half at Allianz Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images

FC Dallas FC vs Minnesota United FC Prediction 07/04/2025 Picks

Pick details

Minnesota United (9-7-4) vs FC Dallas (5-6-8)

July 4, 2025 at 08:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: FC Dallas +160 / Minnesota United FC +140 — Over/Under: 2.75

(Get latest betting odds)

Minnesota United FC will visit the FC Dallas on Friday, July 4th, 2025, at the Toyota Stadium in this Week 21 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction. We will examine:
FC Dallas recent form and player performance
Minnesota United FC recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving FC Dallas
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota United FC
Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota United FC and FC Dallas
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas game

FC Dallas Preview

Dallas has 21 points this season and is sitting on the 11th place of the Western Conference. Dallas has a 5-8-6 record this season while having a 1-6-2 home record. Dallas is coming off 2-3 home defeat by San Diego, and have only one win in their last 9 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.  

Dallas is averaging 1.37 goals per game, while allowing 1.84 goals per game. Petar Musa leads Dallas’ offense this season with 6 total goals.

Minnesota United FC Preview

Minnesota United has 34 points this season and are sitting on the third place of the Western Conference. Minnesota United has a 9-4-7 record this season, and are 4-2-4 on the road. Minnesota United is coming off a 2-2 road draw against NY Red Bulls, and have just one loss in their last 8 games. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games.

Minnesota United is averaging 1.60 goals per game, while allowing 1.10 goals per game. Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi is the top scorer for Minnesota United this season with 6 total goals.

Why FC Dallas will win

FC Dallas has won six of its last nine MLS games as a home underdog following a loss.

Why Minnesota United FC will win

The away team has won each of FC Dallas’ last three MLS games.
FC Dallas has lost three of its last four MLS home games.
FC Dallas has lost three of its last four MLS games as a home underdog.
FC Dallas has lost three of its last four MLS night games as a home underdog.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Minnesota United FC’s last four MLS games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in five of FC Dallas’ last six MLS games as an underdog against Minnesota United FC.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in five of Minnesota United FC’s last six MLS games as a favorite against FC Dallas.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of FC Dallas’ last five MLS games.
The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Minnesota United FC’s last four MLS games.
The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of FC Dallas’ last six MLS games as an underdog.

Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction

Their previous meeting earlier this season was a 0-0 draw in Minnesota. Both teams are 1-1-3 in their last 5 overall meetings, and are 2-2-2 in their last six meetings in Dallas. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings, and 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Dallas.  
In this Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Minnesota has way more points than Dallas, and have been in excellent form, with only a single defeat in their last eight matches. With both teams being perfectly balanced in their recent meetings, I will pass on the side. Both teams have been involved in some extremely high scoring games lately, as Dallas is coming off three straight games with 5+ goals, and Minnesota off four straight with 4+ total goals. Take the over 2.75 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 2.75

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