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Yankees vs Royals Prediction 6/10/25 MLB Picks

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Kansas City Royals (34-32) vs New York Yankees (39-25)

June 10, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals +167 / New York Yankees -206 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 10th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 39-25 this season after they lost two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 9-6, 7-10, and 7-11. In their game three loss, New York led 2-0 and 3-2, but they fell apart in the later innings and ended up with the loss. The Yankees recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Judge, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the loss. New York started Rodon, who allowed three hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Cruz, Loaisiga, and Headrick allowed two earned runs each. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost two out of three against the Dodgers before that. New York has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 349 runs with a .259 batting average and a .344 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 23 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 13 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 8-1 with a 1.78 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 81.0 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 34-32 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-7, 1-4, and 7-5. In their game three win, Kansas City trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they scored the next seven runs to pull away with the win. The Royals recorded 16 hits in the game, and they were led by India, Witt Jr., and Perez, who all had two RBIs in the win. Kansas City started Lorenzen, who allowed one hit and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Estevez picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Cardinals, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. Kansas City has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 226 runs with a .253 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 10 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added eight home runs and 37 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Noah Cameron, who is 2-1 with a 0.85 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Yankees 

  • The Royals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in 15 of their last 17 games as underdogs.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.

Why the Yankees will beat the Royals 

  • The Yankees have won each of their last nine night games against the Royals following a home loss.
  • The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against the Yankees following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday night games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Royals’ last nine games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Royals’ last 10 night games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Maikel Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two night games.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Royals’ last six games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in six of the Royals’ last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 night games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Max Fried has recorded a win in 10 of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in seven of the Yankees’ last eight road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Single in each of his last eight road appearances against the Royals.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games as road favorites against AL opponents.

Yankees vs Royals Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after disappointing series losses over the weekend, and they will look to bounce back with a win here. The Yankees are 18-13 on the road this year, while the Royals are 19-13 at home. Kansas City is one of the lowest-scoring teams in the MLB so far this season, so they need their pitching staff to step up. The Royals are starting Cameron, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. New York is going with Fried, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Both of these pitchers have been fantastic this year, so I like the under in this contest. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5

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