Yankees vs Phillies Prediction 7/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 26th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 59-45 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 3-1. In game two, New York tied the game at one in the third inning and scored in the sixth and seventh to get the win. The Yankees recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Bellinger, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Weathers allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Bednar got the save. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost two out of three against the Dodgers before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.33 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 484 runs with a .234 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 30 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-4 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 56-49 this season after they lost game two by a score of 1-3 on Saturday night. Philadelphia led 1-0 after the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Harper, who went 0-3 with one RBI. Mayza opened the game, while Backhus picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Mets. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 449 runs with a .235 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 21 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 132.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 home games against AL East opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Phillies’ last five games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Yankees’ last five road games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last nine games as home favorites.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Austin Wells has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Warren has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine night games.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1027).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1027).
• The Yankees rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
• The Yankees rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction

New York comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed a total of one run in their last three. The Yankees are 33-22 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 27-27 at home. Philadelphia has lost four in a row and they have scored one run or fewer in three of those four. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed 2, 2, 9, and 0 earned runs in his last four starts, while Warren has allowed 1, 6, 2, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the Phillies to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML