Yankees vs Nationals Prediction 7/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 52-42 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-3 on Friday night. New York trailed 3-2 in the seventh inning, but they scored three runs in the ninth to escape with the win. The Yankees recorded 13 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Chisholm Jr, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Weathers allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Bednar picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Rays and lost two out of three against the Twins. 

This season, New York has a 3.40 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 453 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 29 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 9-5 with a 2.01 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 112.0 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 48-47 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-5 last night. Washington scored two runs in the seventh inning to take the lead, but their bullpen blew another save for the loss. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Wood, who went 3-5 with one home run and one RBI. Palmquist allowed three hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Krook allowed two earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 511 runs with a .251 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while James Wood has added 26 home runs and 62 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Miles Mikolas, who is 3-7 with a 5.78 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Yankees following a home loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Yankees and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Yankees’ last five day games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 14 games at Nationals Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents .
• Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
• James Wood has hit a home run in four of the Nationals’ last five games against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances.
• Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five road games.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances at Nationals Park.

Yankees vs Nationals Prediction 

New York was able to get the win on Friday night to start this series and they have won two in a row. The Yankees are 29-22 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 20-29 at home. Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 35 runs in those five contests. The Nationals are starting Mikolas, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Schlittler has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5