New York (60-50) vs Miami (53-55)
August 2, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 60-50 this year after they lost a thrilling game one in this series by a score of 13-12. New York led 6-0 and 9-4, but their pitching staff fell apart and they lost in the bottom of the ninth. The Yankees recorded 15 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Grisham and Stanton, who both had three RBIs in the loss. New York started Rodon, who allowed two hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Bednar and Doval combined to allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees won three out of four against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 576 runs with a .254 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Cody Bellinger has led New York with 20 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 18 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 53-55 this season after they won game one by a score of 13-12 on Friday. Miami blew a 10-9 lead in the eighth inning, but they erased a 12-10 deficit in the bottom of the ninth and escaped with the victory. The Marlins recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stowers, who went 1-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed six hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Bender picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Brewers. Miami has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 466 runs with a .253 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 24 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 15 home runs and 48 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Yankees
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have lost 12 of their last 15 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Yankees’ last 12 day games against National League opponents.
Yankees vs Marlins Prediction
Miami was able to get the win in a wild game on Friday night and they continue their push in the NL Wild Card race. The Marlins are 25-29 at home this year, while the Yankees are 26-28 on the road. New York made a few moves at the trade deadline, but two of their new relievers really struggled in game one. The Yankees are starting Schlittler, who has allowed eight earned runs and 18 hits over his last 14.2 innings. The Marlins are going with Perez, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last five outings. I really like how Eury Perez is pitching right now and I think the Marlins can steal another one here.