Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 6/24/24

In this article we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 24th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Nationals recent form and recent player performance 
• The Padres recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
• Recent betting trends in games played between Washington and San Diego
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Washington and San Diego

Nationals Continue Play Well 

The Washington Nationals are 38-39 this year and they have won six of their last nine games. Washington is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, swept the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Tigers. Washington is 11-4 in their last 15 games and they are third in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 314 runs with a .236 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .270 with 12 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Padres Had Their Winning Streak Snapped 

The San Diego Padres are 41-41 this season and they have won four of their last five games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Milwaukee, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Phillies, lost all three against the Mets, and swept the Athletics. San Diego is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are second in the NL West standings. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 367 runs with a .261 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .279 with 14 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has scored five runs or more in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Patrick Corbin, who is 1-7 with a 5.60 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season. Corbin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who is 5-6 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year. Waldron has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. 

Why the Washington Nationals will beat the San Diego Padres

• The Nationals have won each of their last six Monday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Padres have lost four of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games at Petco Park.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last seven home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last three night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last three games at Petco Park.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games as favorites.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last three games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last seven games at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Petco Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances at Petco Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Nationals.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Petco Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four games against NL opponents.
• CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals’ last nine games against the Padres.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last six games at Petco Park.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine games as underdogs against the Padres.
• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

Washington comes into this series just one game below .500 and they have played very well over the last few weeks. San Diego is right at .500, but they have just been ok over the last ten games. The Padres are starting Waldron, who has been fantastic in his last five outings. The Nationals are going with Corbin, who has been better recently, but has some very bad numbers this season. I really don’t like Corbin at all, but the Nationals have been great at finding ways to win recently. My Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Nationals to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Nationals ML