| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 67-80 | 77-68 |
| Spread | +1.5 -136 | -1.5 113 |
| Moneyline | +158 | -193 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 67-80 on the year and play the Phillies and Angels next. The Washington Nationals are batting .248 on the season, with a .323 OBP and a .429 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 139 hits and 82 RBI, while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 259 hits and 169 RBI.
Jackson Kent gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-3 with a 5.55 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Kent’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 77-68 on the year and play the Rockies and Giants next. The San Diego Padres are batting .236 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .385 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 158 hits and 71 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 249 hits and 153 RBI.
Walker Buehler gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 8-6 with a 4.56 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL opponents following a loss.
- The home team has won seven of the Nationals’ last eight games.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five Wednesday games at Petco Park.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games at Petco Park against NL opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Nationals at Petco Park.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won four of their last five day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have lost nine of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Padres’ last six home games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Padres’ last 12 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Nationals’ last 11 games.
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The Padres need to take advantage of these games as they close in on a playoff spot, and as I’ve said in the past, the Nationals compete but don’t win enough. Kent has been a mess with a 5.55 ERA and 1.68 WHIP, and he’s allowed 15 earned runs in his last 24.1 innings. Buehler has found his footing lately, including allowing just 12 earned runs in his last 36.1 innings. The Padres are 8-2 in Buehler’s last 10 starts. I’m working with the Padres and will lay the RL to shave down the price.