| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 67-79 | 76-68 |
| Spread | +1.5 -136 | -1.5 113 |
| Moneyline | +159 | -194 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-102) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 67-79 on the year and play the Phillies and Angels next. The Washington Nationals are batting .248 on the season, with a .324 OBP and a .428 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 139 hits and 82 RBI, while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 259 hits and 169 RBI.
Riley Cornelio gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 2-2 with a 5.96 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Cornelio’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 76-68 on the year and play the Rockies and Giants next. The San Diego Padres are batting .236 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .386 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 158 hits and 71 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 247 hits and 150 RBI.
Casey Mize gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-9 with a 3.64 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. This will be Mize’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Nationals have lost 17 of their last 18 road games against NL opponents.
- The Padres have won each of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 13 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Padres have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Padres’ last six games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Padres’ last nine games.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Padres’ last 11 games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Nationals’ last 12 night games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Padres’ last six night games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three home games.
- Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- James Wood has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Brady House has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The Padres are chasing down a playoff spot, and games like this are a gift. The Nationals compete but come up short more times than not. Cornelio has been a mess with a 5.96 ERA and 1.81 WHIP, and he’s pitched just twice since August. Mize has been hit-or-miss at times, but he’s far more trustworthy with a 3.64 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, and he has a 2.98 ERA and a .213 batting average allowed at home. The Padres can’t afford to blow games like this if they’re going to make the postseason. Give me the Padres and the RL for max betting value.