| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 67-78 | 75-68 |
| Spread | +1.5 -127 | -1.5 105 |
| Moneyline | +166 | -203 |
| Total | Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Monday, September 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 67-78 on the year and play the Phillies and Angels next. The Washington Nationals are batting .249 on the season and have a .325 OBP and a .429 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 137 hits and 82 RBI, while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 256 hits and 168 RBI.
Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 2-8 with a 5.57 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. This will be Irvin’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 76-68 on the year and play the Rockies and Giants next. The San Diego Padres are batting .236 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and have a .387 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 155 hits and 71 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 242 hits and 147 RBI.
Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 3-7 with a 7.39 ERA and 58 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- The Padres have won five of their last six home games against the Nationals.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Padres’ last five games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Padres’ last 10 games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven home games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games.
- Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Padres as home favorites.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Jake Irvin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
- CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in each of the Nationals’ last three day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Monday appearances.
- Jake Irvin has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 27th in the league for hits this season (1111).
- The Padres rank T4th in the league for steals this season (140).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (156).
- The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (748).
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m looking at the over in this spot. Irvin has a 5.57 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season and has allowed 18 runs in his last 29 innings. Pivetta is a swing-and-miss pitcher, but he’s still working his way back into the mix with just 16 innings under his belt. It will be Pivetta’s first appearance since April after dealing with a forearm issue. It could take time for him to get back into a rhythm. I expect some runs. Give me the overview.