| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Spread | +1.5 -143 | -1.5 119 |
| Moneyline | +144 | -175 |
| Total | Over 9 (-115) | Under 9 (-105) |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Monday, March 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 2-1 on the year and play the Dodgers and Cardinals next. The Washington Nationals are batting .260 on the season and have a .330 OBP, and a .490 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Joey Wiemer leads the Washington Nationals with 6 hits and 4 RBI, while Brady House and Daylen Lile have combined for 8 hits and 3 RBI.
Foster Griffin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he was 0-0 with an 8.53 ERA and 4 strikeouts in the 2022 season. This will be Griffin’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-2 on the year and play the Rockies and Giants next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting. 186 on the season, have a .292 OBP, and have a .278 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.82 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 3 hits and 2 RBI while Justin Crawford and Bryson Stott have combined for 6 hits and 1 RBI.
Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he was 5-8 with a 4.08 ERA and 86 strikeouts last season. Walker is 2-3 with a 3.56 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against the Nationals following a home loss.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Nationals following a home loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Phillies following a road win.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Nationals’ last nine Monday night games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous Monday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (7).
- The Phillies rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.278).
- The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.490).
- The Nationals rank T7th in the league for runs scored this season (18).
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Griffin has spent his last three seasons in Japan and looked great, but now he’s back in the big leagues, where the competition is better. We’re talking extremely limited frames in the bigs; I need to see more of a sample size before I can get behind him. The Nationals are also due for a letdown after a positive series against the Cubs. Walker is a fine pitcher who keeps his team in games, and the Phillies are better than what they showed against the Rangers. I’ll roll with the Phillies at home in a bounce-back spot with the more trustworthy pitcher.