| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-8 | 8-4 |
| Spread | +1.5 -126 | -1.5 104 |
| Moneyline | +169 | -207 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-103) | Under 8.5 (-117) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Friday, April 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 10th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 8-4 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 5-1 home record and are coming off a 0-5 home loss against the Red Sox. Their previous three games were a 2-3 road loss against the Red Sox, an 8-6 and an 8-5 road win against the Royals.
The Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .356 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Christian Yelich is the team’s best hitter with a .372 batting average. Garrett Mitchell leads the team in RBI with 13, and Gary Sanchez adds a team-high 3 home runs.
Chad Patrick (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-0 record, 0.96 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 4-8 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 3-3 away record and are coming off a 1-6 home loss against the Cardinals. Their previous three games were a 6-7 home loss against the Cardinals, a 9-6 home win, and a 6-8 home loss against the Dodgers.
The Nationals have a .266 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .431 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 6.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. Brady House is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. CJ Abrams leads the team in RBI with 14, also adding a team-high 4 home runs.
Jake Irvin (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 1-1 record, 8.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.
Washington Nationals @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: April 10, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chad Patrick Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 0.96
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Nationals: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Nationals.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 8.00
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-5
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Nationals and Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Nationals’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (23).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (62).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (6.06).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.275).
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won their last 5 meetings against the Nationals, including their last four meetings in Milwaukee. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Nationals vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -202 home favorites. The Brewers came back to earth with back-to-back losses to the Red Sox where they scored just two runs combined. They have the pitching edge in this game as Chad Patrick goes up against Jake Irvin. Patrick has just one earned run in his two starts, while Irvin has 8 earned runs. The Brewers are also 6th-best in bullpen ERA, while the Nats are just 27th and are just 1-7 in their last 8 games. The Brewers also have a slightly better offense and are hitting better against righties, so I expect them to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.