| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 61-70 | 66-64 |
| Spread | +1.5 -158 | -1.5 131 |
| Moneyline | +146 | -157 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Sunday, August 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 66-64 record this season and sit in 3rd place in the NL East. They hold a 40-25 home record and are coming off a 4-2 home win against the Nationals. They will face the Red Sox and the Nationals next.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .402 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .307 batting average, while also leading the team in RBI with 57. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, holding a 6-8 record, 4.37 ERA, and 1.36 WHIP.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 61-70 record this season and sit in 4th place in the NL East. They carry a 34-34 road record and are coming off a 2-4 road loss against the Marlins. They will face the Rockies and the Marlins next.
The Washington Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .324 OBP, and .431 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ best hitter with a .279 batting average, while also leading the team in RBI with 91. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.
Jackson Kent (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, holding a 0-1 record, 9.39 ERA, and 2.48 WHIP.
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: August 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk Record this season: 6-8 ERA: 4.37
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Nationals: 1-1
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have lost 15 of their last 16 games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 day games following a win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jackson Kent Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 9.39
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: –
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Marlins have lost six of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Janson Junk’s last seven appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six Sunday games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as favorites.
- Janson Junk has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as home favorites.
- Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (155) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Abimelec Ortiz has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last five day games.
- Jacob Young has recorded two hits in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (42) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (132).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (680).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (183).
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Nationals and are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Miami.
In this Nationals vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -157 home favorites. I like the Marlins in this one, as they are facing a struggling Washington squad that is just 2-9 in its last 11 games and its offense has fallen off a cliff, averaging just two runs per game in their last 5. The Marlins have an excellent history against the Nationals and the pitching edge in this game with Junk on the bump, who has given up two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts, while Jackson Kent has looked terrible in his two starts this season. Take the Marlins to win.