| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 55-56 | 65-45 |
| Spread | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 108 |
| Moneyline | +157 | -191 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-101) | Under 9.5 (-119) |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Saturday, August 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 65-45 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 34-20 home record and are coming off a 6-2 home win against the Nationals. They will face the Phillies and the Marlins next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .249 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .415 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 67 and adds a team-high 29 home runs.
Reynaldo Lopez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.64 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 55-56 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 32-22 away record and are coming off a 2-6 road loss against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Reds next.
The Washington Nationals have a .253 batting average this season, .329 OBP and .446 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 83, while James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.
Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: August 1, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.64
- Home Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Nationals: 0-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won eight of their last nine night games against the Nationals following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in three of the Nationals’ last four games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games as home favorites.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 home night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas Record this season: 3-7 ERA: 5.65
- Road Record: 0-4
- Last 5 against Braves: 2-1
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 17 of their last 19 road games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games as road underdogs.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Nationals’ last six games as road underdogs.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Reynaldo Lopez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous Saturday night appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in five of the Nationals’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded three or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents.
- Daylen Lile has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (39) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (145).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (602).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (164).
Nationals vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Nationals and have won their last two meetings in Atlanta.
In this Nationals vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -190 home favorites. The Braves have won both games in this series and I expect them to keep doing so again today as they will face Miles Mikolas. Mikolas has been shaky at best and has been bad on the road with a 0-4 record and 5.29 ERA, while Reynaldo Lopez has been better at home for the Braves with a 3-1 record and 3.79 ERA. On top of that, the Braves have a better bullpen to relief him and I expect them to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.