Arizona Diamondbacks (27-31) vs Washington Nationals (28-30)
Game Info: Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 4:10 pm (Chase Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -245 / Washington Nationals +200 — Over/Under: 9
The Washington Nationals are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, June 1st at the Petco Park in the third game of this series, with the Nationals having the 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:
The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
The Washington Nationals recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks game
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 27-31 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 14-17 home record and are 26-27 in over/under They are coming off a 7-11 home defeat by the Nationals, and are 1-9 in their last 10 games. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games, and are playing the Braves and the Reds next.
The Diamondbacks have a .256 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .447 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 66 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 42 and Corbin Carroll adds a team-high 16 home runs.
Corbin Burnes (R) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-2 record, 2.72 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. He has been excellent at home, with a 1.72 ERA across five home starts, but he has 5 earned runs in 14 innings pitched in his last two starts. He struggled in his previous start against the Nationals this season, as he gave up 4 runs in 5 innings of work, and the Dbacks lost 4-5. Corbin Burnes has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 4.50 and 26 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Nationals in his career.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 28-30 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL East. The Nationals have a 15-16 road record and are 29-27 in over/under They are coming off a 11-7 road victory over the Diamondbacks, and have four consecutive wins. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games, and are playing the Cubs and the Rangers next.
The Nationals have a .245 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.05 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. James Wood leads the Nationals with 64 hits, 44 RBI and a team-high 16 home runs, while being the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average.
Mitchell Parker (L) will take the mound for the Nationals, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 6.04 ERA across five road starts, and he has been in terrible form lately, having given up 4+ runs in five of his last six starts. In his previous start against the Dbacks this season, he gave up just one run in 6 innings of work.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won 13 of their last 14 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Nationals have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven Sunday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last seven games between the Nationals and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Sunday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six day games at Chase Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (115).
- The Diamondbacks rank T4th in the league for home runs this season (79).
- The Nationals rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (5.05).
- The Nationals rank T6th in the league for triples this season (10).
Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Nationals have won their last four meetings against the Dbacks, but the Dbacks have won their previous five meetings before that. The Dbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Arizona, and over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -245 home favorites. The Nationals have a better record than the Dbacks at this point, and they are playing far better baseball, with four straight wins, while the Dbacks are on a free fall, with just one win in their last 10 games. But this time, the Dbacks have a huge pitching advantage, as Corbin Burnes is facing Mitchell Parker.
I trust Burnes, but I don’t trust the rest of the struggling Dbacks team at this point, so I will take a pass on the side. Parker has been terrible for the Nats and he will surely allow a lot of runs. Nationals bats have been on fire lately, with 9+ runs in four straight games, and both games of this series had 16 and 18 total runs, so I see them getting at least to 9 today. Take the over 9 runs.