Twins vs Tigers Prediction 08/04/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 4th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 52-59 this season after they lost two out of three against Cleveland by scores of 2-3, 4-5, and 5-4. In their game three win, Minnesota scored four runs in the first inning and added an insurance run in the eighth to get the victory. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Larnach, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Urena, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Funderburk got the win and Ramirez picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Nationals. Minnesota has lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 462 runs with a .241 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 13 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 5-4 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 65-48 this year after they lost two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 4-5, 7-5, and 0-2. In their game three loss, Detroit fell behind in the second inning and was never able to score in the shutout loss. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Jones and Torkelson, who both had two hits in the loss. Detroit started Morton, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Holton allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers swept the Diamondbacks in three games, but lost three out of four against the Blue Jays before that. Detroit has won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 543 runs with a .249 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 23 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 94.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven games against the Twins following a loss.
• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a road win.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Twins and Tigers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six night games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in six of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
• The Tigers rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (993).
• The Twins rank 24th in the league for RBIs this season (441).
• The Twins rank T24th in the league for steals this season (56).

Twins vs Tigers Prediction 

The Tigers are coming off of a series loss in Philadelphia, but they were very competitive in all three games and the starting pitching was very good. Detroit is 36-21 at home this year, while Minnesota is 22-35 on the road. Minnesota has lost four of their last five games and they were dismantled at the trade deadline. The Twins are starting Woods Richardson, who has allowed six earned runs over his last 7.2 innings. The Tigers are starting Mize, who has allowed five earned runs and 13 hits over his last two starts, which was only 5.2 innings. I do expect Mize to bounce back in this outing against a weak Minnesota lineup, so I will take Detroit by at least two runs.