Minnesota Twins (29-23) vs Tampa Bay Rays (26-26)
Game Info: Monday, May 26, 2025 at 7:05 pm (George M. Steinbrenner Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins +105 / Tampa Bay Rays -125 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 26th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 29-23 this season after they won two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 3-1, 5-4, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Minnesota scored one run in the first inning, but was held scoreless in the last nine innings for the extra innings loss. The Twins recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by France, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Ober, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings, while Duran picked up the loss in the 10th inning.
Prior to that series, the Twins split two games with the Guardians and won two out of three against the Brewers. Minnesota has won three of its last five games, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 210 runs with a .239 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added seven home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 2-4 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 26-26 this year after they swept Toronto by scores of 3-1, 3-1, and 13-0 over the weekend. In their game three win, Tampa Bay led 2-0 after the first inning and erupted for seven runs in the fifth to seal the blowout victory. The Rays recorded 15 hits in the game, and they were led by Rortvedt, who went 1-3 with three RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Pepiot, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Orze and Sulser closed out the final two innings.
Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Marlins before that. Tampa Bay has won five games in a row, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 212 runs with a .243 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with 10 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 3-5 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 59.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Rays will beat the Twins
- The Rays have won each of their last five games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four night games after going to extra innings.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
- The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Twins following a win.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.
Why the Twins will beat the Rays
- The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Rays have lost each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Twins and Rays.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four home games against AL opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last four home games.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last eight games.
- Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Willi Castro has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances.
- Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances with the Twins against AL opponents.
- Christian Vazquez has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (151).
- The Rays rank T26th in the league for home runs allowed this season (71).
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.20).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for walks this season (148).
Twins vs Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay rolls into this matchup on a five-game winning streak, and they just outscored Toronto by a score of 19-2 in their last series. The Rays are 16-18 at home this year, while the Twins are 11-15 on the road. Minnesota is coming off a series win as well, and they are starting Paddack, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Rays are giving the ball to Littell, who has allowed two earned runs in four of his last five starts. Both of these pitchers have been locked in over the last few weeks, so I like the under in this matchup.