Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 11th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 7-7 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 10-4 on Friday night. Minnesota led 4-0 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the last 10 runs for the lopsided loss. The Twins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Jeffers, who went 3-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Woods Richardson allowed six hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Banda allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won all four against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 64 runs with a .226 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 10 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-7 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-4 on Friday. Toronto erupted for five runs in the fourth inning to take the lead and they never looked back in the blowout win. The Blue Jays recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Schneider and Valenzuela, who both had two RBIs. Corbin allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Mantiply picked up the win and Varland got a hold. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Dodgers and all three against the White Sox. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 51 runs with a .240 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Andres Gimenez has led the Blue Jays with two home runs and nine RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added one home run and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Eric Lauer, who is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 7.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last 10 Saturday home games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have won nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have won the first inning in six of their last seven games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Twins and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last three Saturday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto was able to avoid a bad loss on Friday with a nice comeback win and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Blue Jays are 6-4 at home this year, while the Twins are 2-5 on the road. Minnesota has won four of their last five games, but they have allowed 6+ runs in two of their last three. The Twins are starting Ryan, who has pitched well in two of his three starts, while Lauer has allowed four earned runs and six hits over 7.1 innings. I don’t love Lauer, but I will back the Jays at home, as I trust their offense more than Twins.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML