Toronto (89-63) vs Tampa Bay (74-78)
September 18, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays meet Thursday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 89-63 on the year and play the Royals, Red Sox, and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .269 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .430 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 181 hits and 94 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 308 hits and 127 RBI.
Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 11-8 with a 3.90 ERA and 163 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 1-6 with a 4.00 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 74-78 on the year and play the Red Sox, Orioles, and Blue Jays next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .251 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 167 hits and 81 RBI while Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe have combined for 273 hits and 187 RBI.
Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 9-12 with a 5.15 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. Baz is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: September 18, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz Record this season: 9-12 ERA: 5.15
- Home Record: 6-5
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 3-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Rays have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Rays have covered the run line in 20 of their last 21 Thursday games as underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Thursday day games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at George M. Steinbrenner Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt Record this season: 11-8 ERA: 3.90
- Road Record: 3-8
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-4
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Rays have lost eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rays’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- George Springer has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Rays haven’t won two straight games in two weeks, and Baz hasn’t been good this season with his 5.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. In 77.1 home innings, Baz has a 6.28 ERA and .278 allowed batting average. The Blue Jays have been kind to us all year and Bassitt has been dealing, especially lately, where he’s allowed 10 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 16 innings. Bassitt has had issues on the road, but I’m still rolling with the Blue Jays, the far and away more consistent team that’s still playing for something.