| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-20 | 23-12 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -143 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-105) |
| Where | George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida | |
| When | Wednesday, May 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-20 on the year and play the Angels and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .252 on the season and have a .314 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 43 hits and 16 RBI while Andres Gimenez and Ernie Clement have combined for 73 hits and 26 RBI.
Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-12 on the year and play the Red Sox and Blue Jays next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .255 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and have a .377 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Chandler Simpson leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 42 hits and 7 RBI, while Yandy Diaz and Jonathan Aranda have combined for 75 hits and 51 RBI.
Shane McClanahan gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. McClanahan is 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last nine home games.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven road games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Rays’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Blue Jays’ last 17 day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Shane McClanahan’s last four home appearances as a starter.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last 19 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Shane McClanahan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jake Fraley has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
- Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T10th in the league in Hits (42) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks T8th in the league in Hits (43) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (251).
- The Rays are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Blue Jays rank T27th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for walks this season (103).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Corbin has been decent through 24.2 innings, but he’s been so terrible over the last five years that I need more convincing. The Blue Jays as a team aren’t having a great week. The Rays are lighting the world on fire. McClanahan has been strong through 29 innings with a 3.10 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Quick turnarounds usually favor the home team. I’ll take the Rays and the cheap price given the form of both teams and the trust of the pitchers on the bump.