San Francisco Giants (44-47) vs Toronto Blue Jays (41-49)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 9:45 pm (Oracle Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -122 / Toronto Blue Jays +103 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 9th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Blue Jays recent form and recent player performance
- The Giants recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco
- Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and San Francisco
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and San Francisco
Blue Jays Started the Road Trip Strong
The Toronto Blue Jays are 41-49 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost three out of four against the Astros, split four games with the Yankees, and split two games with the Red Sox. Toronto is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 359 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .295 with 13 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least four runs in five of their last six games.
Giants are Trying to Keep Momentum
The San Francisco Giants are 44-47 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. San Francisco is coming off of a series loss against Cleveland, where they dropped two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Giants won two out of three against the Braves, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and won three out of four against the Cubs. San Francisco is 8-5 in their last 13 games and they are fourth in the NL West.
The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 402 runs with a .244 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .244 with 12 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco has scored at least four runs in eight of their last nine games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 4-8 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. Kikuchi has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Blake Snell, who is 0-3 with a 9.51 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP over 23.2 innings pitched this season. Snell has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts, but he is coming off of the IL and hasn’t pitched in the majors since June 2nd.
Why the Giants will beat the Blue Jays
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Giants have won each of their last four home games following a loss.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games after going to extra innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Giants have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Soler has recorded at least one Double in three of the Giants’ last four home games.
- Blake Snell has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
- Matt Chapman has scored at least one run in seven of the Giants’ last eight games at Oracle Park.
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last nine games at Oracle Park.
- Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last two home games against AL East opponents.
- Blake Snell has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
- Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Giants as home favorites against AL opponents.
- LaMonte Wade Jr has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with the Giants as home favorites.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Justin Turner has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL West opponents.
- Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Giants.
- George Springer has scored at least one run in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Yusei Kikuchi has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco comes into this game three games below .500 on the season, but they are 25-19 at home and play their best baseball at Oracle Park. The Giants offense has been decent this season, but their pitching staff has not done their part. San Francisco will hope Blake Snell can find his form from past seasons, as he has really struggled this year. Toronto is just 20-25 on the road this season and their offense is one of the lowest scoring in the MLB. Toronto is starting Kikuchi, who has also struggled in recent outings. I don’t love this pitching matchup for either side, but I do think the Giants at home is the play. My Toronto Blue Jays vs San Fransisco Giants prediction is for the Giants to pick up the win.