New York Mets (5-3) vs Toronto Blue Jays (5-4)
Game Info: Sunday, April 6, 2025 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -135 / Toronto Blue Jays +114 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will trot out Bowden Francis for the start here and Francis is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Francis’ second career start against the Mets. The New York Mets will start David Peterson here and Peterson is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 4 strikeouts against Toronto.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to salvage something from this series after a 3-2 loss to the Mets on Saturday dropped them to 5-4 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.
Blue Jays Looking To Avoid Sweep
George Springer has 11 hits and Bo Bichette has 12 hits with Springer adding a home run, a triple, 2 doubles and 5 RBIs while Bichette has 3 doubles and 4 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 9 hits with a pair of doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 6 RBIs this season while Springer, has a team-high 11 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bichette each have a team-high 3 doubles while Springer also has a .379 batting average up to this point in the year.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last five Sunday games as home favorites.
- The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a home win.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Santander has hit a home run in four of his last five Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Myles Straw has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bo Bichette ranks T5th in the league in Hits (12) this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to finish off the sweep after picking up the win in Saturday’s matchup. After this series, the Mets will welcome the Miami Marlins to town.
Mets Looking To Break Out The Brooms
Pete Alonso, Juan Soto and Brandon Nimmo share the team lead with 7 hits with Alonso and Soto each boasting a pair of doubles and Alonso has a team-high 3 home runs and 10 RBIs while Brandon Nimmo has a pair of home runs and 4 RBIs. Mark Vientos, Francisco Lindor and Luis Torrens each have a pair of doubles as well with Lindor logging a pair of stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine road games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last four games against AL East opponents at Citi Field.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I think it’s only a matter of time before Toronto’s bats have a breakout performance, and I think this could be a spot where that breakout happens. It’s a small sample size, but the Blue Jays right now are the best team in baseball against left-handed pitching and that’s not good for a southpaw in Peterson, who struggled in limited action against the Blue Jays in his career. Francis almost had a no-hitter in his lone start against the Mets last season before the bullpen choked it away, and I think Toronto makes amends and gets the win here. Give me Toronto.