Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction 4/5/25 MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Mets meet on Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will trot out Chris Bassitt for the start here, and Bassitt is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bassitt is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA and 16 strikeouts against the Mets. New York will send out Griffin Canning for the start here, and Canning is 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career, Canning is 0-0 with a 6.52 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to bounce back after starting the series on the wrong foot with a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Mets in Friday’s series opener. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Blue Jays Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

George Springer has 11 hits, and Bo Bichette has 9 hits, with both logging a pair of doubles, with Springer adding a home run, a triple, and 5 RBIs while Bichette has 3 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 8 hits with a pair of doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 6 RBIs this season, while Springer, Anthony Santander, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. share the team lead with 8 strikeouts so far this season. Guerrero Jr. has a team-high 3 doubles, while Springer also has a .440 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 16 Saturday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Saturday games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• George Springer has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances in night games.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 17 night games.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• George Springer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.440) this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game fresh off of their series-opening win over Toronto to improve to 4-3 on the year. After this series, the Mets will welcome the Marlins to town.

Mets Win Back-To-Back Games For First Time This Season

Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo share the team lead with 7 hits, with Alonso boasting a pair of doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 10 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has a pair of home runs and 4 RBIs. Luis Torrens, Juan Soto, and Mark Vientos each have a pair of doubles as well, while Alonso has a team-best .292 batting average as well on the year.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won nine of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games against AL East opponents at Citi Field.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Griffin Canning has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
• Pete Alonso ranks T8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.750) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I’m just not a fan of Griffin Canning to begin with, and I really don’t think he adds anything for the New York Mets here. The Blue Jays have a clear edge in starting pitching with Bassitt, who has owned his former team, and I think the Blue Jays’ bats bounce back in this one after a sluggish showing on Friday. Give me Toronto on the road to even up the series here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +105