| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-17 | 14-20 |
| Spread | -1.5 153 | +1.5 -186 |
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota | |
| When | Sunday, May 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-17 on the year and play the Angels and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .250 on the season and have a .313 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 40 hits and 15 RBI while Andres Gimenez and Ernie Clement have combined for 67 hits and 25 RBI.
Trey Yesavage gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Yesavage’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 14-20 on the year and play the Nationals and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .234 on the season and have a .325 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 34 hits and 14 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 54 hits and 32 RBI.
Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Ryan is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won 13 of their last 17 games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last six day games following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Twins at Target Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 11 day games against American League opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in five of the Twins’ last six home games.
- Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances at Target Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine games at Target Field.
- Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.331) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for strikeouts this season (257).
- The Twins rank 6th in the league for walks this season (137).
- The Blue Jays rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (311).
- The Blue Jays are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Twins should have the edge at home with an all-star on the mound in Ryan and Yesavage has yet to earn his stripes given the limited sample size. Still, you’re giving me a red-hot Blue Jays side in a pick’em spot against a Twins team that’s piling up the losses and can’t pitch all of a sudden. Forget the starting pitching matchup; I want the team that’s playing the better ball. That’s the Jays.