Toronto (76-54) vs Miami (60-69)
August 24, 2025 at 01:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The Toronto Blue Jays and Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 76-54 on the year and play the Twins, Brewers, and Reds next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .267 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and a .427 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 162 hits and 83 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 262 hits and 109 RBI.
Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 60-69 on the year and play the Braves, Mets, and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 135 hits and 34 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 215 hits and 132 RBI.
Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 5-3 with a 3.48 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six road games following an extra innings win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The road team has won nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Perez has been great at home, but he’s still a young pitcher trying to find consistency. The Marlins as a whole haven’t been the same since sweeping the Yankees a couple of weeks ago. The Blue Jays continue to pile up the wins and Gausman has quietly been one of the better pitchers in baseball. Gausman has been even better on the road where he has a 3.49 ERA and .187 allowed batting average. This feels like two teams heading in different directions as the season comes down the home stretch. Give me the Blue Jays.