| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 52-60 | 58-55 |
| Spread | +1.5 -175 | -1.5 144 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 9 (-115) | Under 9 (-105) |
| Where | Daikin Park, Houston, Texas | |
| When | Monday, August 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 58-55 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 29-27 home record and are coming off a 7-3 home win against the Rangers. They will face the Padres and the Giants next.
The Houston Astros have a .245 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .418 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .330 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 84 and adding a team-high 35 home runs.
Cristian Javier (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Houston Astros, and he has a 1-1 record, 7.17 ERA and 1.83 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 52-60 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 24-29 away record and are coming off a 1-5 home loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Phillies and the Red Sox next.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a .243 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 69 and adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Shane Bieber (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 2-2 record, 5.74 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: August 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 7.17
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-2
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Daikin Park.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 5.74
- Road Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Astros: 1-1
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 18 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight home games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last five games as home favorites.
- Cristian Javier has recorded four or more strikeouts in 19 of his last 23 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 games against AL East opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
- Shane Bieber has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- Ernie Clement ranks T7th in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (480).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (439).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (6).
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
The Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Blue Jays and have won their last three meetings in Houston.
In this Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -130 home favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 12.91 ERA and their home/away splits are even worse, as Javier has an 8.22 home ERA and Bieber a 9.35 road ERA. Both teams have been lights out against right-handed pitching in their last 10 games, averaging 11.8 runs per game combined, so everything sets up for a high-scoring affair. Take the over 9 in this one.