| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 48-57 | 53-50 |
| Spread | +1.5 -180 | -1.5 148 |
| Moneyline | +118 | -142 |
| Total | Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Sunday, July 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-57 on the year and play the Cardinals and Nationals next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .242 on the season and have a .304 OBP and a .379 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 117 hits and 33 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 183 hits and 109 RBI.
Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-9 with a 4.51 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 9-11 with a 4.25 ERA and 169 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 53-50 on the year and play the Dodgers and Athletics next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .243 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .392 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 106 hits and 45 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 196 hits and 116 RBI.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 4-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won 17 of their last 19 games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 18 games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Red Sox following a road win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games at Fenway Park following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Kevin Gausman’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Narvaez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against the Blue Jays.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Andruw Monasterio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- Willson Contreras ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded eight strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (391).
- The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (391).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Blue Jays have issues stringing wins together, and Gausman is in rough shape right now. He’s allowed 18 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 14.2 innings. In 48 innings on the road, Gausman has a 5.44 ERA and .257 batting average allowed. Suarez hasn’t pitched in a few weeks, but he has a 3.15 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He has a 3.86 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 42 innings at home. The Red Sox have the edge on the mound and have been the better team overall lately. I’ll roll with the home team.