| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-38 | 29-41 |
| Spread | +1.5 -187 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +108 | -131 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-114) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-38 on the year and play the Astros and Cubs next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .249 on the season and have a .314 OBP and a .390 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 84 hits and 28 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 129 hits and 69 RBI.
Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-4 with a 10.23 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 5-7 with a 5.77 ERA and 85 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 29-41 on the year and play the Rockies and Mariners next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .246 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 74 hits and 34 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 142 hits and 75 RBI.
Jake Bennett gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Bennett’s first career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The favorites have won each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven Wednesday night games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Willson Contreras has recorded two or more hits in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Davis Schneider has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games against AL East opponents.
- Max Scherzer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Ernie Clement ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.299) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (268).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for walks this season (202).
- The Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for steals this season (28).
- The Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for walks this season (212).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’m not excited to pick a side in this matchup, so I’m looking at the over. Scherzer is a shell of himself at 41 years old and has a 10.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP through 22 innings. Bennett has just 15.1 career innings, but he has a 5.28 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. These are two capable lineups and two pitchers in awful form. I expect a lot of runs. Give me the over.