| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-29 | 26-30 |
| Spread | +1.5 -187 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +108 | -131 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-118) | Under 8.5 (-102) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Thursday, May 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 26-30 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 17-13 home record and are coming off an 11-2 home win against the Rays. They will face the Red Sox and the Blue Jays next.
The Orioles have a .233 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .250 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 33, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Chris Bassitt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 4-3 record, 5.51 ERA and 1.67 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 27-29 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL East. They have a 10-16 away record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Braves and the Orioles next.
The Blue Jays have a .244 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 29, adding a team-high 11 home runs.
Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 2-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 5.51
- Home Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The home team has won eight of the Orioles’ last nine games.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have won the first inning in five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.86
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Orioles: 0-3
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight Thursday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as underdogs against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
- Leody Taveras has recorded two hits in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Taylor Ward ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as road underdogs.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks T7th in the league in Hits (62) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.261).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (502).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (406).
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction
The Blue Jays have won their last four meetings against the Orioles but are 1-3 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore.
In this Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -130 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as the Jays have the edge in pitching, offense and bullpen. The Orioles are coming off a huge series sweep against the Rays with a combined 26-10 score, but I don’t trust Bassitt on the mound and Corbin has actually been good so far. The Orioles have a bottom-8 bullpen and the Jays are the third-best team against righties in the past 10 days, so take Toronto on the moneyline as an underdog for plus money.