Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles meet Monday in MLB action at Sutter Health Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-43 on the year and play the Royals, Rockies, and Dodgers next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .263 on the season, have a .334 OBP, and a .413 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 126 hits and 65 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 214 hits and 111 RBI. 

Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 11-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 5-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 58 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 47-58 on the year and play the Cubs, Phillies, and Athletics next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .240 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 104 hits and 38 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 186 hits and 81 RBI.

Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 6-5 with a 5.78 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 4-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have won three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three home games.
• Zach Eflin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 home appearances.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Monday night appearances with the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against AL opponents.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Andres Gimenez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Orioles.
• Chris Bassitt ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Blue Jays haven’t lost two straight games in the second half, and they’ve been one of the best teams over the last month overall. Bassitt is also dealing lately, which includes 25 hits and seven earned runs allowed in his last 26.1 innings. The Orioles haven’t had much consistent success, and beating up on the Rockies doesn’t move the needle. You, your friends, and myself could beat the Rockies. Eflin has allowed 23 earned runs in his last 26.2 innings. There’s only one way to go here. Give me the Blue Jays.