Tigers vs Orioles Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 44-24 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-3 on Tuesday night. Detroit scored five runs in the first five innings, and they were able to hold on for the win. The Tigers recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Hurter, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 2.2 innings, while Gipson-Long allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Cubs and split four games with the White Sox. Detroit has won three of its last four games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 330 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 13 home runs and 44 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 6-1 with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 55.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-39 this season after they dropped game one on Tuesday night. Baltimore tied the game at one in the third inning, but they didn’t score again until the eighth inning in the loss. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Westburg, Henderson, and Rutschman, who all had one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Povich, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Dominguez, Cano, and Blewett pitched 4.1 scoreless innings. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did sweep the Mariners in three games before that. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.08 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 249 runs with a .237 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Ryan O’Hearn has led Baltimore with nine home runs and 24 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added eight home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Zach Eflin, who is 5-2 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 46.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Orioles 

• The Tigers have won each of their last nine games as favorites against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six night games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven Wednesday night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Adley Rutschman has scored a run in each of the Orioles’ last five games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday night appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Orioles.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Wenceel Perez has scored a run in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction 

Detroit decided to go with a bullpen game on Tuesday night in game one of this series, and they were able to pick up another win, as they continue to dominate. The Tigers are 21-15 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 12-18 at home. Baltimore has allowed five runs in three of their last four games, and they are starting Eflin, who has allowed 3, 0, 4, and 8 earned runs in his last four starts. Detroit is starting Mize, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Back the Tigers to get another win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML