Tigers vs Mets Prediction 5/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 14th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 19-24 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-10 and 2-3. In game two, Detroit led 2-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last nine innings in the extra innings loss. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Greene, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Valdez allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Anderson picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Royals and all three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 179 runs with a .242 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with seven home runs and 27 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added four home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 17-25 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-2 in 10 innings. New York tied the game at two in the seventh inning and they scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Benge, who went 3-5 with one RBI. Scott allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Raley picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but did win two out of three against the Rockies before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 152 runs with a .225 batting average and a .290 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with five home runs and 17 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added two home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 1-2 with a 2.78 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won each of their last four home games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against the Mets.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in nine of his last 21 appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three day games.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games.

Tigers vs Mets Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup after another awful game at the plate on Tuesday night and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Tigers are 7-18 on the road this year, while the Mets are 8-12 at home. New York has won three of their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Mets are starting McLean, who has allowed 1, 3, 1, 3, and 1 earned run in his last five starts, while Montero has allowed one earned run in back to back starts. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5