Tigers vs Mets Prediction 5/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 12th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 19-22 this year after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 3-4, 1-5, and 6-3. In game three, Detroit blew an early 3-0 lead, but they scored the last three runs to get the win. The Tigers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Workman, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Anderson allowed three earned runs over 2.0 innings, while De Jesus got the win and Jansen picked up the save. Prior to that series, Detroit lost all three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Rangers before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 175 runs with a .242 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with six home runs and 26 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added four home runs and 20 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 0-3 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over 34.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 15-25 this season after they lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks by scores of 3-1, 1-2, and 1-5. In game three, New York cut the deficit to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore scoring in the loss. The Mets recorded four hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Torrens, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Peterson allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Brazoban picked up the loss as the opener. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, New York has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 139 runs with a .222 batting average and a .287 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with five home runs and 16 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added two home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 2-3 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Mets have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Tigers have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Tigers following a loss.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets at Citi Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in four of his last five Tuesday night appearances.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last six games.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Tigers vs Mets Prediction 

Detroit was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Sunday night, but they continue to deal with a bunch of injuries and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Tigers are 7-16 on the road this year, while the Mets are 6-12 at home. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four straight. The Mets are starting Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Flaherty has allowed 2, 4, and 6 earned runs in his last three starts. Take the Mets at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML