Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/16/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 16th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 29-15 this season after they won all three games against Boston by scores of 14-2, 10-9, and 6-5. In their game three win, Detroit blew a 5-2 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored in the bottom of the ninth to escape with the win. The Tigers recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Greene and Sweeney, who both had two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Vest picked up the win in the ninth inning. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Rangers, but did sweep the Rockies in three games before that. Detroit has won eight of its last ten games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 244 runs with a .261 batting average and a .334 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 41.0 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 21-22 this year after they lost two out of three against the Rays by scores of 9-11, 3-1, and 3-8. In their game three loss, Toronto cut the deficit to 3-2 in the third inning, but they allowed the next three runs in the game, which sealed the loss. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Lukes, Barger, and Guerrero Jr., who all had one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Urena allowed two hits and two earned runs in the ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays swept the Mariners in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Angels before that. Toronto has won five of its last seven games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 171 runs with a .251 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with five home runs and 20 RBIs, while George Springer has added five home runs and 18 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Bowden Francis, who is 2-5 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Tigers 

• The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six road games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tigers will beat the Blue Jays 

• The Tigers have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five home games.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Friday games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the last 13 night games between the Tigers and Blue Jays.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Tigers’ last 17 games at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL opponents at Rogers Centre.
• George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Blue Jays’ last six home games against the Tigers.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games at Rogers Centre against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as road favorites.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

David Racey is 20-12 (63%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Detroit rolls into this series after a very high-scoring series with the Red Sox, where they scored 30 runs over three games, but they are just 12-10 on the road this year. Toronto is coming off a disappointing series against Tampa Bay, and they have allowed eight runs or more in two of their last three games. The Blue Jays are starting Francis, who has allowed 3, 4, and 7 earned runs in his last three games. The Tigers are going with Flaherty, who has allowed 5, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5