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Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Aug 12, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays centre fielder Daulton Varsho (5) hits a home run against the Chicago Cubs during the eighth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Aug 12, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays centre fielder Daulton Varsho (5) hits a home run against the Chicago Cubs during the eighth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Texas (61-63) vs Toronto (73-51)

August 17, 2025 at 01:37 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto +105 — Over/Under: +8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will start Nathan Eovaldi here and Eovaldi is 10-3 with a 1.71 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Eovaldi is 0-1 with a 9.15 ERA and 17 strikeouts. Jose Berrios will get the start for Toronto here and Berrios is 9-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rangers, Berrios is 1-1 with a 6.65 ERA and 23 strikeouts.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from their 14-2 blowout loss to Toronto last time out to sit at 61-63 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road again for a series against the Kansas City Royals.

Rangers Lose Four In A Row And 8 Of Last 9

Corey Seager has 87 hits including 17 home runs and 43 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 98 hits with 24 doubles, 16 home runs, 64 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 83 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 90 hits with 17 doubles, 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 15 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 9 homers and 35 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 102 hits with 20 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs with 9 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 13 homers and 57 RBIs but has 90 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won five of their last six day games following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a road loss.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his 19 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Rangers as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Rangers as favorites.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to build on their win over the Rangers from Saturday to sit at 73-51 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series in interleague play against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Blue Jays Win 3 Straight & 5 Of Last 6

George Springer has 100 hits and Bo Bichette has 148 hits with Springer adding 18 home runs, a triple, 18 doubles and 57 RBIs while Bichette has 35 doubles, 16 home runs and 78 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 48 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 20 homers, 29 doubles and 67 RBIs while Springer also has a .291 batting average and 76 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 25 doubles with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 23 doubles as part of his 120 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last 12 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette ranks 1st in the league in Hits (151) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last 10 games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rangers’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m backing the Blue Jays in this one. I get that Nathan Eovaldi is still one of the premier pitchers in the American League this season, but I get the feeling from this game that I got from Friday’s game with Jacob deGrom as the starter. deGrom pitched well but the bullpen let it get away on the way to a loss and I think it could be the same here. Berrios has still pitched fairly well at home and I think he pitches the Jays to a win as well. Give me Toronto.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto +105

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