St. Louis Cardinals (55-52) vs Texas Rangers (52-56)
Game Info: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 at 2:15 pm (Busch Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -110 / Texas Rangers -110 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 31st at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Rangers recent form and recent player performance
- The Cardinals recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
- Recent betting trends in games played between Texas and St. Louis
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Texas and St. Louis
Rangers Look for Big Series Win
The Texas Rangers are 52-56 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Texas won game one in this series by a score of 6-3, but they allowed eight runs in the loss on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Rangers lost all three against the Blue Jays, swept the White Sox in four games, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Texas is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are third in the AL West.
The Texas pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 459 runs with a .240 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Nathaniel Lowe is batting .272 with nine home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed at least six runs in four of their last five games.
Cardinals are Searching for Consistent Pitching
The St. Louis Cardinals are 55-52 this season and they have won two of their last three games. St. Louis dropped game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 8-1. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Pirates, and won two out of three against the Braves. St. Louis is 2-4 in their last six games and they are tied for second in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 444 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .261 with 11 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed at least five runs in four of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Andrew Heaney, who is 4-10 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this season. Heaney has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Michael McGreevy, who is making his first start of the season in the MLB. McGreevy has a 4.45 ERA over 109.1 innings with Memphis this year.
Why the Rangers will beat the Cardinals
- The Rangers have won seven of their last eight road games against the Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have lost six of their last seven games at Busch Stadium following a win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games at Busch Stadium following a win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Busch Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last seven Wednesday games at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has recorded an RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five games against AL West opponents.
- Matt Carpenter has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals’ last eight games against the Rangers at Busch Stadium.
- Matt Carpenter has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Willson Contreras has scored a run in each of his last six Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Tommy Pham has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight home games against the Rangers.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Heaney has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rangers’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Wyatt Langford has scored a run in each of the Rangers’ last five road games.
- Corey Seager has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Both of these teams come into this game desperately needing a win, as Texas tries to get back into the AL West race and St. Louis tries to hold off Pittsburgh for second in the Central. The Cardinals are 28-25 at home this year, while Texas is 23-33 on the road. The Rangers have played slightly better baseball over the last few weeks, but they are still not very good on the road. Texas is going with Heaney, who has been very good recently. St. Louis is going with McGreevy, who is making his MLB debut and is a big question mark here. I don’t trust McGreevy in this situation, even against a poor Rangers team on the road, so my Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Rangers to win.