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Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 6/14/24

John Froschauer-USA TODAY Sports

Seattle Mariners (40-30) vs Texas Rangers (32-35)

June 14, 2024 at 10:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -149 / Texas Rangers +126 — Over/Under: 7

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 33-35 on the year after wins over the Giants and Dodgers. The Texas Rangers have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Texas Rangers have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcus Semien leads the Texas Rangers with 71 hits and 37 RBI, while Josh Smith and Corey Seager have combined for 122 hits and 57 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 40-31 on the year after wins over the Royals and White Sox. The Seattle Mariners have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 9 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 75 hits and 26 RBI, while Ty France and Mitch Haniger have combined for 102 hits and 57 RBI.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Andrew Heaney gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 2-7 with a 4.06 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Heaney has allowed 9 hits and 3 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Heaney has a 3.21 ERA and .283 allowed batting average in 33.2 road innings. Heaney is 4-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 117 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 5-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 8 hits and 5 runs in his last 12 innings. Castillo has a 2.95 ERA and .244 allowed batting average in 42.2 home innings. Castillo is 1-3 with a 4.35 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last 12 night games against the Rangers following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have lost 11 of their last 12 night games against the Mariners following a road win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six night games at T-Mobile Park after going to extra innings.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against AL West opponents following a win.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mariners’ last eight Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Friday night appearances.
  • J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in three of his last four Friday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded a win in five of his six previous home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous Friday night appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last four road games against AL West opponents.
  • Leody Taveras has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last nine road games against AL opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit at least one home run in each of the Rangers’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 28th in the league for hits this season (509).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 6th in the league for strikeouts against this season (517).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 25th in the league for walks allowed this season (248).

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Texas Rangers and the plus money is appealing as they’re showing signs of turning things around, and a couple of wins over the Dodgers should be a confidence boost. However, the Seattle Mariners have played some of their best ball of the season over the last few weeks, and they have the edge in this pitching matchup. The Rangers haven’t had much success this year with Andrew Heaney on the mound. Luis Castillo has been far more consistent, and he’s been even better at home. This could be a fun series opener between the Rangers and Mariners, but I lean toward the home team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Seattle Mariners -149

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