Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 08/03/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 3^rd at the T-Mobile Park in the fourth game of this series, with the Mariners having the 2-1 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 59-53 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 30-25 home record and are 59-48 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-6 home defeat by the Rangers, which ended their previous two-game winning streak. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are playing the White Sox and the Rays next.

The Mariners have a .244 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 115, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 88, and in home runs with 42.

Logan Evans (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.22 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 58-54 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 24-34 road record and are 46-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-4 road victory over the Mariners, which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games and are playing the Phillies and the Yankees next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .376 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Marcus Semien leads the Rangers with 95 hits, while Josh Smith is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 62, while Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 15.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 10-3 record, 2.55 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last 16 games against the Rangers following a home loss.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last 10 games against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 19 games as favorites against the Mariners following a road win.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games against the Rangers at T-Mobile Park.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last 12 Sunday games as favorites.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last 10 road day games.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last six games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last five road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six day games against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (152).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Rangers, and are 3-1 their last 4 meetings in Seattle. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle.

In this Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -150 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall record but the Mariners have been above average at home, while the Rangers have been terrible on the road. With deGrom on the mound, there is no way I am fading the Rangers. He had only one earned run in his previous start against Seattle this season, while Evans has been shaky at best for the Mariners lately, with a 5.62 ERA in his last five starts, with two games with 6 earned runs in that span. The Rangers also have the 5^th-best bullpen in the league to back deGrom, so I expect them to take care of business on the road in this one.