Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/21/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 21, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (25-24, 8-14 Away) were on a six-game winning streak, their longest such run of the season, but then they lost three of the next four. After defeating the Tigers and sweeping the Rockies, the Rangers split the series with the Astros and lost Game 1 of the current series against the Yankees. In that 5-2 defeat, Jonah Heim drove in both runs, while Patrick Corbin took the loss after allowing three runs on five hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.

This season, the Rangers average 3.46 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .227/.289/.368 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.24 ERA (4th) and 1.13 WHIP (2nd). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .222 batting average, six home runs, and 24 RBI this season.

Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the Rangers on Wednesday. The 36-year-old right-hander has a 4-1 record in nine starts this year with a 2.29 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 51.0 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (28-19, 16-9 Home) won four consecutive series after defeating the Padres, Athletics, Mariners, and Mets. The Yankees won the opening game of the current series against the Rangers. In Tuesday’s 5-2 victory, Aaron Judge and Ben Rice led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Will Warren got the win after allowing no runs on five hits with ten strikeouts and one walk across 5.2 innings of work.

This year, the Yankees average 5.78 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .261/.347/.475 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.54 ERA (10th) and 1.17 WHIP (7th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .403 batting average, 16 home runs, and 43 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Ryan Yarbrough, who is 1-0 in two starts this season, with a 3.70 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 24.1 innings.

Why the Rangers will beat the Yankees

• The Rangers have won six of their last seven Wednesday games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last seven Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Wednesday games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.347).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (195).
• The Rangers rank 28th in the league for walks this season (125).
• The Rangers rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.288).

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last five. I am going with the Rangers to get a win in this one, though, because they have an advantage in the pitching matchup. Jacob deGrom allowed a .179 BA in 51 at-bats against the Yankees in his career, while he surrendered six runs in his previous six starts, including two shutouts and two quality starts. Ryan Yarbrough, on the other hand, has been solid in his two starts, but he’s only starting because the Yankees have several injured pitchers. Yarbrough could last for four or five innings, but I think the Rangers will score multiple runs off him early on. Go with the Rangers.