Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 77-70 on the year and play the Astros, Marlins, and Twins next. The Texas Rangers are batting .236 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .387 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 117 hits and 33 RBI, while Wyatt Langford and Adolis Garcia have combined for 225 hits and 133 RBI.

Jacob deGrom gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 11-7 with a 2.78 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. This will be deGrom’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 76-71 on the year and play the Padres, Nationals, and Cubs next. The New York Mets are batting .250 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .427 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 154 hits and 77 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 288 hits and 194 RBI.

Jonah Tong gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. This will be Tong’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: September 12, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jonah Tong      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 4.09
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The home team has won seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 11-7      ERA: 2.78
• Road Record: 5-2
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the last 13 games between the Rangers and Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rangers’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four home games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games at Citi Field.
• Starling Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his 18 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rangers.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (39) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (518).
• The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.228).
• The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1109).

Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets continue to pile up the losses and can’t be trusted. It’s comical how a team so talented keeps losing the way it has. The jury is also still out on Tong, who has just 11 innings under his belt. The Rangers are coming off a sweep of the Brewers and throw out deGrom who still has gas left in the tank with his 2.78 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. You know deGrom will be motivated to face his former team for the first time in his career. There should be a nice crowd pulling for deGrom despite him pitching for the visiting team. The Mets feel like a team waiting for the offseason. It’s strange. Give me the Rangers.