Minnesota Twins (35-30) vs Texas Rangers (31-35)
Game Info: Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -126 / Texas Rangers +104 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 10, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers (31-35, 11-22 Away) will end their road trip with this series in Minneapolis. They were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays but responded with a series win over the Washington Nationals. In the latest 4-2 victory, Evan Carter led the offense with two RBI, while Jacob Latz pitched for 3.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on two hits with seven strikeouts and two walks. Jacob Webb was credited with the win.
This year, the Rangers average 3.35 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .221/.283/.356 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.10 ERA (3rd) and 1.12 WHIP (1st). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .215 batting average, seven home runs, and 28 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Tyler Mahle, who is 5-3 in 13 starts this season, with a 2.02 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 71.1 innings.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (35-30, 19-10 Home) spent three series on the road, where they lost to the Rays and Mariners and defeated the Athletics. Back at home, the Twins lost two of three games to the Blue Jays, but managed to avoid a sweep with a 6-3 win on Sunday. Christian Vasquez led the team with two RBI, while Joe Ryan got the win after allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits with six strikeouts and three walks across 5.0 innings of work.
This season, the Twins average 4.25 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .242/.314/.387 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.51 ERA (7th) and 1.17 WHIP (5th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .258 batting average, ten home runs, and 38 RBI this season.
At the time of writing, the Twins still haven’t announced the starter for this game against the Rangers.
Why the Rangers will beat the Twins
- The Rangers have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Twins have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Rangers and Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a home win.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven home games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Twins rank 7th in the league for ERA this season (3.51).
- The Rangers rank T29th in the league for hits this season (472).
- The Rangers rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.221).
Rangers vs Twins Prediction
The Twins won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. However, I am going with the Rangers in this one for two reasons. First, they will start Mahle, who is a legit Cy Young candidate and the best pitcher on the Rangers. Although he didn’t have the best of starts in his latest games against the Rays, Mahle posted a 2.10 ERA in June. His former team, Minnesota, will likely use a bullpen day following Pablo Lopez’s injury. That would be an advantage for the Rangers, and I am backing them to exploit it.