Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 25, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers pitcher Nathan Eovaldi (17) delivers a pitch to the Seattle Mariners during the first inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jim Cowsert-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
Team Records
79-81
76-84
Spread
-1.5 135
+1.5 -163
Moneyline
-125
+104
Total
Over 8 (-107)
Under 8 (-113)
Where
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
When
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Time
04:10 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Texas Rangers and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Texas Rangers will send out Nathan Eovaldi for the start here and Eovaldi is 11-10 with a 4.27 ERA and 141 strikeouts this season. Bailey Ober will start for the Twins here and Ober is 7-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 10-2 loss at the hands of the Twins last time out to sit at 79-81 this season.
Rangers Lose 4 Of Last 5
Brandon Nimmo leads the Rangers with a team-high 152 hits while adding 35 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs, and 61 RBIs so far this season. Ezequiel Duran has added 138 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Jake Burger leads Texas in power with a team-high 27 home runs and 89 RBIs alongside 126 hits and 23 doubles on the year. Josh Jung has contributed 119 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs, and 42 RBIs, while Joc Pederson has added 88 hits, 12 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Corey Seager has logged 85 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs, and 49 RBIs, and Evan Carter has chipped in 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs, and 39 RBIs for Texas up to this point in the season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their win over Texas last time out to sit at 76-84 this season.
Twins Win 3 Straight
Luke Keaschall leads the Twins with a team-high 147 hits while adding 27 doubles, 3 triples, 10 home runs, and 52 RBIs so far this season. Brooks Lee has logged 146 hits with 24 doubles, 3 triples, 24 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Josh Bell leads Minnesota with a team-high 92 RBIs alongside 143 hits, 28 doubles, a triple, and 20 home runs on the year. Kody Clemens leads the Twins with a team-high 27 home runs along with 125 hits, 22 doubles, 7 triples, and 79 RBIs. Byron Buxton has added 94 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs, and 46 RBIs, and Victor Caratini has chipped in 71 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs, and 44 RBIs up to this point in the season.
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: September 26, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober Record this season: 7-6 ERA: 4.21
Home Record: 5-2
Last 5 against Rangers: 2-1
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
The Twins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Rangers.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against the Rangers.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Rangers.
The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games against the Rangers.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi Record this season: 11-10 ERA: 4.27
Road Record: 5-7
Last 5 against Twins: 2-2
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The Twins have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
The road team has won four of the last five games between the Rangers and Twins.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Twins at Target Field.
The Twins have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last eight games between the Rangers and Twins.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Kody Clemens has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of the Rangers’ last six day games.
Nathan Eovaldi has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Ezequiel Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games against AL Central opponents.
Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
The Twins rank 26th in the league for walks this season (500).
The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.55).
The Rangers rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (663).
The Rangers rank 26th in the league for steals this season (77).
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Twins in this one. Texas keeps getting their butts saved in the division race and can’t take advantage of it. Eovaldi struggled in his limited action since returning from the injury, and while Ober has been hittable, the Twins have been backing up their pitchers as of late and I think the Twins take care of business. Give me Minnesota.
