Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 27, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; Milwaukee Brewers left fielder Jackson Chourio (11) hits a two run home run in the eighth inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers
Team Records
66-68
83-51
Spread
+1.5 -123
-1.5 102
Moneyline
+188
-203
Total
Over 7.5 (-112)
Under 7.5 (-108)
Where
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
When
Friday, August 28, 2026
Time
07:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Texas Rangers and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Texas Rangers will send out Cody Bradford for the start here and Bradford is 0-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Logan Henderson will start here for the Brewers and is 8-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from a 10-4 loss at the hands of the White Sox to sit at 66-68 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head ome for a series against the Athletics.
Rangers Lose Back-To-Back Games
Brandon Nimmo has 127 hits with 30 doubles, 4 triples, 13 home runs and 49 RBIs while Jake Burger has 109 hits with 20 doubles, 23 home runs and 76 RBIs. Corey Seager has 61 hits with 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 34 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 64 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs while Josh Jung has 104 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs as well on the year.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 8-2 win over the Mets last time out to sit at 83-51 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Brewers Win 7 Of Last 10
William Contreras has 127 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 66 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 124 hits with 28 doubles, 3 triples, 17 homers and 78 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 109 hits with 19 doubles, 23 home runs and 75 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 68 hits with 4 home runs and 36 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 100 hits with 26 doubles and 55 RBIs this season. Jackson Chourio’s also contributed 115 hits with 22 doubles, 19 home runs and 54 RBIs this season.
Texas Rangers @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 28, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 8-2 ERA: 2.60
Home Record: 4-0
Last 5 against Rangers: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
The home team has won each of the last six games between the Rangers and Brewers.
The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine road games following a road loss.
The home team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Rangers and Brewers.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a road loss.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against NL opponents.
The Brewers have won the first inning in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games at American Family Field.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Cody Bradford Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 3.05
Road Record: 0-1
Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The underdogs have won nine of the last 10 games between the Rangers and Brewers.
The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the last 12 games between the Rangers and Brewers.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 18 games as favorites against AL opponents following a win.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL opponents.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Brewers’ last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six games against AL opponents.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Rangers’ last five games as underdogs.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Logan Henderson has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
Jake Bauers has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four road games.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (123).
The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
The Rangers rank T27th in the league for runs scored this season (543).
The Rangers rank 27th in the league for RBIs this season (523).
Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Brewers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Rangers as Texas is still competing for the AL West title, but the Rangers have been so hit or miss offensively that it’s hard to back them. The Brewers are playing the better baseball and Henderson has been one of the more underrated options in this rotation. I’ll back Milwaukee.
