Boston Red Sox (61-54) vs Texas Rangers (55-62)
Game Info: Monday, August 12, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -112 / Texas Rangers -105 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Texas Rangers and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Rangers pick. We will examine:
The Texas Rangers recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Rangers and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rangers vs Red Sox game
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Rangers took on the New York Yankees. Texas split the Saturday doubleheader 8-0 and 9-4. In the rubber match the Rangers nearly came back from a 5-0 deficit but fell short 8-7 in the end.
Starter for Monday’s game will be Texas’ Tyler Mahle. In his lone start this year Mahle is 0-1 with 5.0 innings and two Ks. In his career Mahle is 33-42 with a 4.28 ERA in 124 games (123 starts).
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Over on the Boston side, they played the Houston Astros in their weekend series. The Sox lost the first two games 8-4 and 5-4, then on Sunday Boston fell in a blowout 10-2. The two RBI came from Wilyer Abreu and Masataka Yoshida.
As starter for Monday the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello. In 2024 Bello is 10-5 with a 5.16 ERA in 21 starts. Bello is 24-24 with a 4.64 career ERA in 62 games (60 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last three night games at Fenway Park.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites.
- Masataka Yoshida has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Fenway Park.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as favorites.
- Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rangers.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites against AL opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded four or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 17 road appearances.
- Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in three of the Rangers’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine road games against the Red Sox.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last six road games against AL East opponents.
- Wyatt Langford has scored at least one run in six of the Rangers’ last seven road games against AL East opponents.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rangers’ last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction
I’ll lean toward Texas but I could probably go either way. Mahle didn’t pitch too badly in his debut on August 6 versus the Astros, going 5.0 innings with one earned on five hits and a walk in a tough loss. As for Bello, he’s been fairly uneven over his last three with eight earned runs in 16.0 innings.
On Sunday the Rangers started pretty slow at the plate but eventually finished with 12 team hits. Texas also gave up 12 hits on the other side though, with all five pitchers posting at least one (four of the five had at least two). I’ll probably stay away from this one.