Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Ryan Pepiot for the start here, and Pepiot is 2-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Pepiot’s first career start against the Blue Jays. Chris Bassitt will get the start for the Blue Jays here and is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rays, Bassitt is 1-4 with a 4.40 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 11-9 series-opening win over the Blue Jays from Tuesday’s series opener to improve to 19-22 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for an interleague series against the Miami Marlins.

Rays Win Three Of Their Last Four

Jonathan Aranda has 39 hits with a team-high 9 doubles, 5 home runs, and 18 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 26 hits with 5 homers and 18 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 36 hits with 6 doubles, a team-high 7 home runs, and 16 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 38 hits with 8 doubles, 6 homers, and 20 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 3 homers, and 11 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has a team-high 45 strikeouts this season. Jose Caballero has 9 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 5 stolen bases, and Chandler Simpson has 7 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in four of the Rays’ last five night games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday night appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.428) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Rays in Tuesday’s opener to slip to 20-21 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will welcome the red-hot Detroit Tigers to town for a weekend series.

Blue Jays Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

George Springer has 35 hits and Bo Bichette has 48 hits, with Springer adding 5 home runs, a triple, 9 doubles, and 18 RBIs while Bichette has 12 doubles and 18 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 25 hits with 5 doubles and 3 home runs and 10 RBIs this season, along with 9 stolen bases, while Anthony Santander has a team-high 36 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 4 homers, 7 doubles, and 18 RBIs, while Springer also has a .297 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won 12 of their last 13 night games at Rogers Centre following a home loss.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Rays following a loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in 10 of his last 11 Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine home games.
• George Springer ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Rays here. I think Ryan Pepiot’s biggest issue has been pitching at Steinbrenner Field this season, with how hitter-friendly that ballpark is. Toronto’s ballpark is hitter-friendly as well, but I think that benefits the Rays here, who clearly woke up in the later stages of Tuesday’s game. Chris Bassitt has been a home run magnet so far, giving up a home run in five straight starts against the Rays and two home runs in each of his last three starts overall this year. I think the Rays add on to Tuesday’s win and get another W here. Give me the Rays in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +124