Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7/21/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, July 21st in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 46-54 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 25-28 home record and are coming off a 1-7 home loss against the Rays. They will face the Red Sox and the Nationals next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .242 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .298 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 62, adding a team-high 22 home runs.

Kevin Gausman (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 4-8 record, 4.33 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 57-42 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 22-27 away record and are coming off a 7-1 road win against the Blue Jays. They will face the Guardians and the Rangers next.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a .258 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 65, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 29 home runs.

Drew Rasmussen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he has a 7-5 record, 3.26 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: July 21, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman      Record this season: 4-8      ERA: 4.33
• Home Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Rays: 0-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 13 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen      Record this season: 7-5      ERA: 3.26
• Road Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last nine games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Blue Jays’ last 11 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rays’ last eight games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
• Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (111) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 14 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Drew Rasmussen is one of only three pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or less Walks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (398).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (398).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (708).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (708).

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Blue Jays and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Toronto.

In this Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -115 road favorites. Both teams have been struggling lately and I like the Blue Jays in a bounce-back spot today at home with Gausman on the mound, who has been far better at home with a 3.50 ERA. On the flip side, Rasmussen has given up 11 runs across his last two starts and the Rays had 36 earned runs in their 5 games prior to yesterday’s win. Take the Blue Jays to win this one at home as an underdog.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML