| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-13 | 18-23 |
| Spread | -1.5 139 | +1.5 -168 |
| Moneyline | -131 | +109 |
| Total | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) |
| Where | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario | |
| When | Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:07 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have an 18-23 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 12-10 home record and are coming off a 5-8 loss at home against the Rays. They will face the Angels and the Yankees next.
The Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 26, also adding a team‑high 10 home runs.
Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-1 record, 3.60 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 27-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 13-9 away record and are coming off an 8-5 win on the road against the Blue Jays. They will face the Marlins and the Orioles next.
The Rays have a .256 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 32, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 11 home runs.
Shane McClanahan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 4-2 record, 2.60 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: May 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.60
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-3
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan Record this season: 4-2 ERA: 2.60
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 4-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Rays’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight night games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Shane McClanahan’s last six road appearances as a starter.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ernie Clement ranks T10th in the league in Hits (47) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Shane McClanahan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in each of his six previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in four of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (279).
- The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Rays rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (47).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (281).
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Rays have won their last four meetings against the Jays but they are 1-3 in their last three visits in Toronto.
In this Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -125 road favorites. The Jay lost yesterday with Gausman on the mound and are now just +105 underdogs when Patrick Corbin faces Shane McClanahan? This like makes no sense, since all the value is with the Rays in this one. Shane McClanahan is coming off three straight shutouts and the Rays have both a better offense, a better bullpen and have been in excellent form lately. Take the Rays on the moneyline in a very nice price.

